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Red38
930123.5
497717.9
99917.2
Blue123
347865.2
998211.2
1022517.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5199015020025030038123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points17
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
20Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points24
38Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9301
#15
23.51.2
30.329.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End6.0
blue by 41.8
65.21.1
62.763.8
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
Second
4977
#11
17.91.2
17.816.6
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End2.3
red by 0.1
17.91.1
13.614.8
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Third
9991
#19
7.22.0
7.75.7
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 4.0
9982
#16
11.21.9
5.77.6
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned