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Red104
440073.7
40100.5
665220.2
Blue30
47357.6
99992.8
99958.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions992605015020010430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+70Teleop
+68Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +52
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
66Total teleop14
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
6Foul points0
104Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.71.0
69.970.9
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
red by 65.0
9995
#22
8.71.7
4.05.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Second
6652
#18
20.21.0
14.515.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
red by 12.6
4735
#30
7.61.0
5.56.5
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
Third
4010
#34
0.51.0
-1.1-0.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
blue by 2.2
9999
#23
2.81.7
5.57.2
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed