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Red85
347212.9
99992.8
440073.7
Blue19
92825.4
348013.5
99917.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132130501001502002508519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+62Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +35
10Coral scored#3
37Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
51Total teleop16
Reef
7L4#1
4L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
0Foul points0
85Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.7
70.970.2
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
red by 60.3
3480
#40
13.50.5
14.514.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
Second
3472
#27
12.90.7
17.616.9
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End-0.4
red by 5.6
9991
#19
7.20.8
5.75.0
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Third
9999
#23
2.81.2
7.26.0
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End1.0
blue by 2.6
9282
#29
5.40.5
5.65.1
Auto2.1
Teleop2.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsMissed