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Red71
99958.7
1022517.9
335430.1
Blue40
601737.1
664731.6
921310.1
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions558401001502007140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+7Teleop
+23Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave0
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
19Total auto0
TeleoperatedBlue +12
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
6Processor points6
0Net points12
6Algae points18
28Total teleop40
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#10
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
8Foul points0
71Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#17
30.10.8
31.031.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End2.2
blue by 7.0
37.12.5
33.631.1
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
Second
17.90.8
14.815.5
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
blue by 13.8
6647
#13
31.62.5
31.028.5
Auto4.8
Teleop24.4
End2.4
Third
9995
#22
8.71.3
5.77.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
blue by 1.5
9213
#12
10.12.5
12.910.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed