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Red61
670227.2
47357.6
513312.3
Blue40
35277.1
473127.6
594820.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597102040801001201406140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+7Teleop
+13Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +1
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
36Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
10Foul points2
61Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6702
#33
27.20.2
27.227.5
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
blue by 0.4
4731
#32
27.61.2
29.027.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.2
End-0.4
Second
5133
#24
12.30.2
13.914.1
Auto2.6
Teleop7.6
End2.1
blue by 7.8
5948
#39
20.11.2
20.719.4
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.1
Third
4735
#30
7.60.2
6.56.8
Auto1.9
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 0.5
3527
#26
7.11.2
6.95.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed