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Red88
497717.9
595919.5
352631.3
Blue117
315841.5
997821.0
754621.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362405070809010011088117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave7
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto7
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#23
46Coral points84
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
74Total teleop104
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#4
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
88Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3526
#14
31.30.5
28.028.6
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
blue by 10.2
41.51.6
40.241.9
Auto3.4
Teleop35.8
End2.3
Second
5959
#28
19.50.5
17.217.8
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
blue by 2.0
7546
#21
21.51.6
20.221.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Third
4977
#11
17.90.5
16.617.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End2.3
blue by 3.1
9978
#10
21.02.7
10.212.9
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned