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Red41
77259.4
393310.6
998211.2
Blue23
40100.5
478211.2
928029.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions214701001502002504123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +14
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
20Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
8Foul points0
41Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9982
#16
11.20.7
7.68.3
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 18.3
9280
#37
29.51.4
31.630.2
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Second
3933
#36
10.60.4
12.112.5
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 0.6
4782
#35
11.21.4
12.411.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.6
End2.8
Third
7725
#20
9.40.4
7.17.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 8.9
4010
#34
0.51.4
-0.1-1.5
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed