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Red104
588719.0
440341.7
742135.7
Blue41
710218.4
930123.5
665220.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1116505010015020010441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+45Teleop
+57Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +32
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
66Total teleop34
Reef
6L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points0
104Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.70.5
44.845.3
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End7.0
red by 18.3
9301
#15
23.51.6
29.127.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End6.0
Second
35.70.5
29.930.4
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
red by 15.5
6652
#18
20.21.6
15.413.8
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Third
19.00.5
16.116.6
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
red by 0.6
7102
#25
18.41.6
20.719.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed