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Red27
393310.6
99992.8
335430.1
Blue65
998211.2
670227.2
997821.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions743801001502002502765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +39
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points33
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#3
0Processor points0
0Net points12
0Algae points12
6Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
8Foul points10
27Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#17
30.12.1
31.829.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End2.2
red by 2.9
6702
#33
27.20.4
27.527.9
Auto3.5
Teleop22.6
End1.0
Second
3933
#36
10.62.1
12.510.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
blue by 10.4
9978
#10
21.00.7
12.913.6
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
Third
9999
#23
2.83.2
6.02.8
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.2
End1.0
blue by 8.4
9982
#16
11.20.7
8.39.0
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed