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Red44
595919.5
87407.5
921310.1
Blue45
588719.0
40100.5
99917.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704201001502004445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+3
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#5
13Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
23Total teleop29
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points6
44Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5959
#28
19.52.1
23.721.5
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 0.5
19.00.1
17.517.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7
Second
9213
#12
10.12.3
18.115.8
Auto2.8
Teleop6.4
End0.9
red by 2.9
9991
#19
7.20.2
9.59.3
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
Third
8740
#31
7.52.1
12.610.4
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
red by 7.0
4010
#34
0.50.1
4.44.3
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed