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Red40
998211.2
594820.1
571630.4
Blue85
601737.1
77259.4
440341.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931150501502004085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
27Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
9Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
40Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5716
#38
30.42.9
41.438.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.9
End4.5
blue by 11.4
41.70.7
50.950.2
Auto8.2
Teleop26.6
End7.0
Second
5948
#39
20.13.2
32.529.3
Auto2.5
Teleop15.5
End2.1
blue by 17.0
37.10.7
37.236.4
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
Third
9982
#16
11.24.8
9.54.7
Auto1.9
Teleop7.0
End2.2
red by 1.8
7725
#20
9.40.7
7.87.1
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned