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Red17
347212.9
393310.6
710218.4
Blue126
497717.9
99958.7
463566.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312105015020025017126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+73
Endgame+91
Fouls+109
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +65
1Coral scored#11
5Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#6
0Processor points6
0Net points24
0Algae points30
5Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +18
0Cage & park18
0Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +109
0Foul points18
17Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#25
18.44.3
30.726.5
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
blue by 48.2
66.61.2
61.362.5
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
Second
3472
#27
12.94.3
24.920.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.7
End-0.4
blue by 5.1
4977
#11
17.91.2
19.320.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End2.3
Third
3933
#36
10.64.3
25.421.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.2
End0.5
red by 2.0
9995
#22
8.72.0
9.511.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned