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Red116
997821.0
348013.5
440073.7
Blue28
40100.5
754621.5
347865.2
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10510840608012014011628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+96Teleop
+104Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +79
19Coral scored#0
69Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
79Total teleop0
Reef
7L4#0
7L3#0
5L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
24Game pieces#0
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
2Foul points18
116Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.6
76.376.8
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
red by 8.5
65.25.7
66.060.3
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
Second
9978
#10
21.01.0
6.27.1
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
blue by 0.5
7546
#21
21.55.7
25.419.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
Third
3480
#40
13.50.6
23.023.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
red by 12.9
4010
#34
0.55.7
4.3-1.4
Auto2.0
Teleop-1.0
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed