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Red32
87407.5
348013.5
710218.4
Blue58
77259.4
1022517.9
665220.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384001020305060703258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
4Coral scored#7
13Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
17Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
32Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7102
#25
18.40.6
19.118.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.0
End1.3
blue by 1.8
6652
#18
20.21.3
13.815.1
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4
Second
3480
#40
13.50.6
14.113.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.4
blue by 4.4
17.91.3
15.516.8
Auto3.0
Teleop13.2
End1.6
Third
8740
#31
7.50.6
8.17.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 1.9
7725
#20
9.41.3
7.68.8
Auto4.5
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed