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Red180
347865.2
754621.5
463566.6
Blue96
601737.1
665220.2
997821.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17654010015020025030018096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+66Teleop
+76Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
10Coral scored#3
48Coral points17
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
14Coral scored#10
50Coral points35
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
92Total teleop57
Reef
11L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +84
8Foul points0
180Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.5
65.666.1
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 29.5
37.10.4
36.737.1
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
Second
65.20.5
64.264.7
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
red by 44.2
9978
#10
21.00.6
20.421.0
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
Third
7546
#21
21.50.5
20.521.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
6652
#18
20.20.4
19.820.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4