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Red145
347865.2
754621.5
463566.6
Blue102
601737.1
665220.2
997821.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179380100150200250300145102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+37Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave6
8Coral scored#1
41Coral points3
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +2
19Coral scored#20
69Coral points73
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
95Total teleop93
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#5
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#25
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
145Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.60.1
65.865.7
Auto17.5
Teleop38.7
End10.4
red by 29.5
37.10.8
33.334.1
Auto6.5
Teleop23.8
End6.8
Second
65.20.1
64.464.3
Auto18.1
Teleop39.1
End8.0
red by 44.2
9978
#10
21.01.2
15.616.7
Auto2.6
Teleop18.4
End-0.0
Third
7546
#21
21.50.1
20.720.5
Auto3.8
Teleop16.3
End1.4
red by 1.3
6652
#18
20.20.8
16.517.3
Auto3.8
Teleop16.0
End0.4