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Red169
928029.5
440073.7
742135.7
Blue103
352631.3
473127.6
588719.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16272050100200250300169103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+40Teleop
+58Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
3Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points9
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
18Coral scored#16
66Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
7Net algae#5
6Processor points6
28Net points20
34Algae points26
100Total teleop85
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#7
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +66
8Foul points0
169Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.70.7
71.171.8
Auto20.8
Teleop44.3
End8.6
red by 42.4
3526
#14
31.30.7
29.930.5
Auto4.0
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
35.70.7
33.133.8
Auto8.3
Teleop24.2
End3.3
red by 8.1
4731
#32
27.60.7
26.126.8
Auto1.7
Teleop26.2
End-0.4
Third
9280
#37
29.50.7
26.927.6
Auto4.7
Teleop22.8
End1.9
red by 10.5
19.00.7
17.618.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.9
End1.7