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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431115010020015888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+38Teleop
+70Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave3
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points16
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points47
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
75Total teleop65
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +70
0Foul points0
158Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.9
51.652.5
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 13.3
39.20.2
39.339.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
52.30.9
51.452.3
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 13.2
39.10.2
39.339.1
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Third
4453
#22
16.80.9
15.916.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 0.1
9566
#36
16.70.2
16.816.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4