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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391116080100120160180200174130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+22Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
8Coral scored#3
39Coral points17
39Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
19Coral scored#23
67Coral points82
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
109Total teleop106
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#10
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
174Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.9
50.651.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 13.3
39.20.4
38.939.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
52.30.9
50.451.4
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 13.2
39.10.4
38.939.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Third
4453
#22
16.80.9
15.015.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 0.1
9566
#36
16.70.4
16.416.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4