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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11598406080140160180157135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
29Coral scored#19
104Coral points68
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
12Processor points24
12Net points24
24Algae points48
128Total teleop116
Reef
12L4#7
6L3#7
10L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
157Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.7
38.238.9
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
red by 10.1
8126
#19
29.10.5
28.629.1
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
Second
39.10.7
38.238.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 10.5
858
#14
28.60.5
28.128.6
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Third
9566
#36
16.70.7
15.716.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
blue by 7.5
5152
#27
24.10.5
23.624.1
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4