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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9177204060100120140113111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +1
20Coral scored#21
73Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
89Total teleop88
Reef
5L4#8
8L3#9
6L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#27
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
113Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.10.3
28.328.6
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 1.4
27.70.6
27.127.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Second
858
#14
28.60.3
27.728.1
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
red by 3.6
25.00.6
24.425.0
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
5152
#27
24.10.3
23.323.6
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
red by 4.7
7226
#30
19.40.6
18.819.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6