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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1351125010015020016251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+91Teleop
+111Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points13
40Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +67
19Coral scored#6
70Coral points21
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
96Total teleop29
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#3
6L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#11
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +111
0Foul points0
162Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.51.0
49.650.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 13.3
39.21.0
39.338.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
52.31.0
49.450.4
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 13.2
39.11.0
39.238.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Third
4453
#22
16.81.0
13.915.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 0.1
9566
#36
16.71.0
16.815.7
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4