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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9985020406012014085109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+14
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +10
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
69Total teleop79
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
85Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
32.50.2
32.632.5
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
red by 3.3
8126
#19
29.10.5
27.828.3
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
Second
29.60.2
29.829.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
red by 1.1
858
#14
28.60.5
27.227.7
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Third
5676
#25
23.30.2
23.423.3
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
blue by 0.8
5152
#27
24.10.5
22.823.3
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4