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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7674050100150200118106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+12Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
96Total teleop81
Reef
6L4#7
5L3#5
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
118Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.9
26.227.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
blue by 0.5
3875
#24
28.20.7
27.528.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
25.00.9
23.524.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 4.2
5980
#15
20.80.7
20.020.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
7226
#30
19.40.9
17.918.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 1.5
9671
#11
17.90.7
17.217.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1