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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111026080120140160156114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+54Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +43
25Coral scored#17
89Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
18Processor points12
24Net points16
42Algae points28
131Total teleop88
Reef
12L4#5
6L3#6
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
156Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.9
38.339.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
red by 6.7
6081
#10
32.50.2
32.432.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Second
39.10.9
38.339.2
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 9.5
29.60.2
29.629.8
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Third
9566
#36
16.70.9
15.816.8
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
blue by 6.6
5676
#25
23.30.2
23.323.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3