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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1296705010015020013477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+59Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +23
11Coral scored#9
40Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
68Total teleop45
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#2
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points2
134Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.50.5
49.149.6
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
red by 24.8
27.70.2
26.026.2
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Second
52.30.5
48.949.4
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 27.3
25.00.2
23.323.5
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
4453
#22
16.80.5
13.413.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
blue by 2.6
7226
#30
19.40.2
17.717.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6