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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions757905010015020012292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +28
19Coral scored#14
70Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
104Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
122Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#24
28.21.1
26.427.5
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
red by 2.3
5144
#12
26.00.3
25.626.0
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Second
5980
#15
20.81.1
19.020.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
blue by 0.2
5623
#21
21.00.3
20.721.0
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9671
#11
17.91.1
16.117.2
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 1.6
16.30.3
16.016.3
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1