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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80672040601001201402836

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
3Coral scored#2
9Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
15Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#0
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points12
28Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.74.8
22.417.6
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
red by 2.9
5980
#15
20.84.4
20.215.8
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Second
7226
#30
19.44.8
29.324.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 0.5
9743
#18
18.94.4
18.213.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Third
9703
#34
9.64.8
16.912.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 7.5
5501
#13
17.24.4
21.817.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed