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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67772040601001203052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+28
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#11
14Coral points38
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
14Total teleop42
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
30Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.13.5
32.128.7
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
blue by 13.4
52.51.6
35.133.5
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
9183
#29
14.53.5
10.26.8
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 3.0
8300
#26
17.51.6
13.511.9
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Third
7658
#37
12.33.5
18.715.3
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
blue by 4.8
5501
#13
17.21.6
17.415.9
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed