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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836320401001208464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+24Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
0Processor points6
12Net points8
12Algae points14
67Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
84Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.4
32.933.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
red by 10.6
858
#14
28.60.1
26.126.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Second
25.00.4
21.521.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 4.2
5980
#15
20.80.1
15.815.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
12.10.4
15.015.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 3.3
9672
#31
15.40.1
14.113.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed