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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47740204060801001202656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
2Coral scored#8
8Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop38
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
26Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.72.0
17.615.6
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
blue by 6.0
29.60.8
24.423.6
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Second
9238
#38
11.52.0
12.210.2
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 14.5
5144
#12
26.00.8
23.322.6
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Third
7254
#33
9.52.0
14.512.5
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 6.3
15.80.8
15.114.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed