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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74682040608010012011443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+53Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
9Coral scored#7
32Coral points26
1Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
6Processor points0
24Net points4
30Algae points4
62Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
6Foul points0
114Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.33.7
30.434.1
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 28.1
5152
#27
24.12.9
30.527.7
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Second
8126
#19
29.13.7
18.021.7
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 8.1
5623
#21
21.02.9
15.412.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9671
#11
17.93.7
15.419.1
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
blue by 1.0
9743
#18
18.92.9
13.911.0
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed