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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597002040801001205950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+9Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points3
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#7
28Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
38Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
59Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
32.50.4
31.231.5
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
red by 4.2
3875
#24
28.21.6
23.521.9
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
16.30.4
14.014.4
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
blue by 7.0
5676
#25
23.31.6
24.022.4
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
Third
9703
#34
9.60.4
8.08.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 5.8
9672
#31
15.41.6
13.912.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed