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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476502040801001204047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +9
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
22Total teleop31
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
40Total score47

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9566
#36
16.71.1
19.418.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
blue by 9.3
5144
#12
26.02.2
22.620.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
Second
15.81.1
14.313.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
blue by 9.2
25.02.2
21.919.7
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Third
9203
#28
12.11.1
10.08.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 3.4
9241
#32
15.52.2
10.98.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned