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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6338020801001204337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+6Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +3
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
33Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
43Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.11.8
21.719.9
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 11.2
9671
#11
17.90.5
19.118.6
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Second
7226
#30
19.41.8
19.717.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 4.9
9183
#29
14.50.5
6.86.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Third
8300
#26
17.51.8
11.910.1
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
red by 6.0
9238
#38
11.50.5
10.29.7
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed