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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043020801001201406159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+10Teleop
+20Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
22Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +4
4Coral scored#3
13Coral points9
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
17Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points24
61Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.2
21.521.7
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
blue by 0.9
858
#14
28.60.4
23.723.3
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
Second
5676
#25
23.30.2
22.622.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
red by 7.7
9241
#32
15.50.4
8.78.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
Third
9203
#28
12.10.2
8.99.1
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 2.4
9183
#29
14.50.4
6.35.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed