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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387002060801001204475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points31
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
28Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
44Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#16
22.00.9
12.913.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
blue by 6.3
3875
#24
28.21.1
24.125.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
12.10.9
13.114.0
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
blue by 11.5
23.71.1
16.517.6
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
9238
#38
11.50.9
9.710.6
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
blue by 6.4
9671
#11
17.91.1
18.619.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed