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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4562020801001202468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+10
Endgame+32
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +3
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
14Total teleop17
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points12
24Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9743
#18
18.91.7
11.29.5
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
blue by 10.7
29.60.5
24.625.1
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
Second
4810
#35
18.31.7
17.515.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
blue by 2.5
5980
#15
20.80.5
14.014.5
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
7254
#33
9.51.7
10.79.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 2.8
7658
#37
12.30.5
13.013.5
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsEarned