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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769506080908993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
Teleoperatedlevel
17Coral scored#14
60Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
74Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#7
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points6
89Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#14
28.60.9
23.424.3
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
blue by 3.9
6081
#10
32.50.4
29.529.9
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Second
5144
#12
26.00.9
19.320.2
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
red by 2.3
23.70.4
16.817.2
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Third
8300
#26
17.50.9
14.915.8
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
blue by 0.8
4810
#35
18.30.4
15.616.0
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsEarned