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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions543802060805939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
46Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
59Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5248
#16
22.00.3
14.715.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
red by 2.6
7226
#30
19.40.3
12.612.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
Second
5623
#21
21.00.3
15.816.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 8.7
7658
#37
12.30.3
14.414.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Third
9566
#36
16.70.3
16.617.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
red by 7.1
7254
#33
9.50.3
8.48.2
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed