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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686002040801001201404751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +1
7Coral scored#6
24Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
34Total teleop33
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
47Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
25.224.0
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
red by 4.6
25.00.1
17.817.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
3875
#24
28.21.1
22.821.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
red by 10.3
9671
#11
17.90.1
20.820.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Third
9203
#28
12.11.1
9.17.9
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.2
16.30.1
11.611.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed