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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5794020408012014088102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#14
49Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
63Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#7
3L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
88Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.13.2
18.321.5
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
blue by 23.4
52.52.1
36.839.0
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
5676
#25
23.33.2
22.025.2
Auto3.9
Teleop15.1
End4.3
blue by 15.8
39.12.1
28.430.5
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
Third
5980
#15
20.83.2
15.618.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
red by 5.3
9672
#31
15.42.1
15.017.1
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned