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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77400206010012014010129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+74Teleop
+72Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
16Coral scored#3
59Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
77Total teleop14
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#1
3L2#0
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
0Foul points0
101Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.24.1
32.536.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
red by 22.0
5501
#13
17.21.2
16.615.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Second
27.74.1
21.525.6
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 11.9
15.81.2
14.713.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Third
4453
#22
16.84.1
10.014.1
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
red by 7.1
9703
#34
9.61.2
8.67.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed