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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594602040801008537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#5
37Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
51Total teleop26
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +4
4Cage & park8
4Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
18Foul points0
85Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#14
28.61.7
24.326.0
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.4
red by 11.1
8300
#26
17.50.7
15.815.1
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
Second
7226
#30
19.41.7
12.314.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End0.6
red by 7.0
7658
#37
12.30.7
14.113.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End3.4
Third
9743
#18
18.91.7
12.213.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
red by 7.4
9238
#38
11.50.7
10.710.0
Auto1.6
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed