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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5465204060801005890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +29
10Coral scored#14
35Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
45Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
58Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5144
#12
26.00.2
20.220.4
Auto3.5
Teleop21.0
End1.4
blue by 2.3
3875
#24
28.21.9
21.723.6
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
Second
4810
#35
18.30.2
16.016.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.9
End0.4
red by 1.6
9566
#36
16.71.9
17.018.9
Auto3.1
Teleop13.1
End0.4
Third
9203
#28
12.10.2
7.98.2
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Level
12.11.9
15.817.8
Auto4.0
Teleop6.7
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed