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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50114010015085137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+52
Endgame+52
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave0
1Coral scored#6
3Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
11Coral scored#15
38Coral points53
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
12Processor points12
12Net points28
24Algae points40
62Total teleop93
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#7
1L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points0
85Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.62.1
24.026.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.8
End6.6
blue by 22.8
52.52.7
39.041.7
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
5623
#21
21.02.1
16.118.3
Auto3.8
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 11.5
6081
#10
32.52.7
29.932.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
Third
9241
#32
15.52.1
10.612.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End3.0
blue by 8.6
5152
#27
24.12.7
23.526.2
Auto4.3
Teleop14.5
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned