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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705402040801001201408465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
58Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
84Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8126
#19
29.11.5
21.523.0
Auto4.1
Teleop22.5
End2.6
red by 7.1
5248
#16
22.00.8
15.115.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.0
End0.8
Second
27.71.5
25.627.1
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
red by 6.9
5980
#15
20.80.8
18.919.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.6
End3.1
Third
5501
#13
17.21.5
15.416.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 1.3
7256
#17
15.90.8
17.918.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed