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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66540204060801001205543

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+4Teleop
+2Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
19Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
3Coral scored#4
12Coral points13
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
16Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
16Foul points6
55Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.12.2
30.528.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.9
End3.6
red by 15.4
23.71.3
17.215.9
Auto3.3
Teleop18.5
End1.9
Second
9671
#11
17.92.2
20.918.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 1.1
4453
#22
16.81.3
14.112.9
Auto4.3
Teleop8.5
End4.0
Third
9703
#34
9.62.2
7.35.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End1.7
blue by 5.8
9672
#31
15.41.3
17.115.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsEarned