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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6470405060809010010857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#9
28Coral points33
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
38Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
24Foul points0
108Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.32.9
41.844.8
Auto17.2
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 13.1
39.20.5
36.636.1
Auto8.7
Teleop28.8
End1.6
Second
9183
#29
14.52.9
7.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End3.0
blue by 1.8
16.30.5
11.711.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Third
7254
#33
9.52.9
8.211.1
Auto3.2
Teleop3.7
End2.6
blue by 6.3
15.80.5
13.513.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed