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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions829740601201409177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points38
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#3
12Processor points0
4Net points12
16Algae points12
74Total teleop50
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
91Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
32.52.0
32.634.6
Auto7.8
Teleop22.9
End1.8
blue by 20.0
52.50.6
41.741.1
Auto10.3
Teleop34.1
End8.0
Second
3875
#24
28.22.0
23.625.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End1.3
red by 0.5
27.70.6
27.126.5
Auto9.1
Teleop15.5
End3.1
Third
8300
#26
17.52.0
15.117.1
Auto1.8
Teleop14.3
End1.5
blue by 1.4
9743
#18
18.90.6
13.913.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed